Suicide deaths in Brazil: temporal and sociodemographic analysis (2013–2023)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.25118/2763-9037.2025.v15.1459Keywords:
suicide, public health, epidemiology, mortality, temporal trendsAbstract
Introduction: Suicide is a serious public health issue, with over 700,000 deaths globally each year. In Brazil, understanding temporal and demographic trends is essential to support effective public policies. Objective: To analyze the temporal trend and epidemiological profile of suicide deaths in Brazil between 2013 and 2023, pandemic’s influence, along with projections through 2028. Method: Ecological study using data from the Mortality Information System (SIM), considering deaths from intentionally self-inflicted injuries (ICD-10: X60-X84). Variables such as state, age group, sex, race, education level, and marital status were evaluated. Time series analysis was performed using Prais-Winsten linear regression in STATA 13. Future projections used the Microsoft Excel 365 forecasting tool. Results: From 2013 to 2023, 144,566 deaths were recorded, mostly among men (79%) and adults aged 20–49 (59%). Mortality rates increased (β=0.253; p<0.05), especially among young adults aged 20–29 (β=0.402; p<0.001). Female mortality grew significantly among 15–19-year-olds (β=0.227; p<0.001). In 2022, the rate peaked at 7.66 per 100,000 inhabitants. An increase to 8.95 is projected by 2028. Conclusion: The rising suicide trend in Brazil highlights the need for public prevention policies targeting vulnerable groups, with regional and interdisciplinary strategies.
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Copyright (c) 2025 Raiza Brito Cipriano, Mariana Masse Monteiro, Lucca Tamara Alves Carretta, Heloísa Braga de Freitas, Lara Martins Eller, Renata Vilela de Almeida Gomes, Wanêssa Lacerda Poton, Fernando Rocha Oliveira

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